December 22, 2003
Sometimes I Impress Even Myself

This perceptive analysis brings up a point I've not yet seen anywhere else:

The capture of Saddam Hussein is an intelligence success for the United States. It represents a massive effort to improve U.S. intelligence capabilities in Iraq following a period of intelligence failure. [...] It demonstrates that poor intelligence is not inherent in U.S. guerrilla war-fighting.

Even better though, it's been three weeks, and our previous essay on the recent Guerilla action seems to have rung another bell.

We said:

The "old" Iraqi Dinars, which it would be fair to assume the guerrillas have aplenty, expire this month (according to NBC news at least). Always remember guerrillas operate on the fringes... they beg, borrow, steal, or buy what they need or they (literally) starve and die.

Compare with this:

[The guerillas] relied on support from an infrastructure fueled by money [... ] much of the money the guerrillas had was currency taken from Iraqi banks prior to the fall of Baghdad. A great deal of it was in U.S. dollars, which continued to have value, but most of it was in the currency of the old regime. One of the earliest actions of the U.S. occupation forces was to replace that currency. Over time, therefore, the resources available to the guerrillas contracted.

Yeah, I know, for me being impressive doesn't sound too hard either. It might mean, though, that certain members of the discussion group will stop assuming I'm a-priori full of sh*t and actually listen for once.

Nah...

Posted by scott at December 22, 2003 09:04 AM

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